🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Who will win Ecuador’s 2023 presidential election?

6
16
39 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 27

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Otto Sonnenholzner
no
Luisa González
no
Daniel Noboa Azín
yes
Xavier Hervas
no
Yaku Pérez Guartambel
no
Jan Topić
no
Bolívar Armijos
no
Christian Zurita
no
Resolved Oct 16, 2023
Community Baseline Score
98.1
Community Peer Score
6.3
Authors:
duck_master
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
Otto Sonnenholzner
Christian Rodrigo Zurita
Pachakutik Plurinational Unity Movement – New Country
Citizen Revolution Movement
RETE Movement
Democratic Left (Ecuador)
Ecuador

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