Question

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

Resolved :Yes30%

123

43 comments43

Total Forecasters525

Community Prediction30% (20% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

9.1

Community Peer Score

24.2

Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Mar 17, 2016

Closes:

Oct 1, 2018

Resolves:

Jan 21, 2019

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

40.6

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

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