Question

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

Resolved :Yes30%

123

43 comments43

Total Forecasters525

Community Prediction30% (20% - 43%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

9.1

Community Peer Score

24.2

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Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

54.9

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Who wants a pig organ? Patients sick and tired of waiting years for a transplant

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

A U.S. farm breeds pigs for human kidney transplants

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

54.9

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

Make a Prediction

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

Comments

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?