Question

By 2020, will an implanted human embryo with artificially edited DNA be brought to term?

Resolved :Yes

123

43 comments43

Total Forecasters525

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

9.1

Community Peer Score

24.2

median 30.0%mean 33.0%

Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many gene-edited babies will have been born worldwide by the end of 2029?

54.9

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

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