Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction19% (10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China breaks silence on apparent military drills around Taiwan

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

Chinese military presence around Taiwan intensifies with more aircraft

•Dec 13, 2024

China breaks silence on apparent military drills around Taiwan

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

China is getting ready to take on Trump

Spectator (UK)•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

78.5%

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MetaculusM

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

Make a Prediction

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

Comments

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?