Question

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

21 comments21

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

median 10.0%mean 13.2%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

New York City

New York City Police Department

New York state’s population could drop by 2 million people come 2050, shocking study finds

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

New York is headed for massive shrinkage — thanks to its repellant progressive agenda

New York Post•Nov 17, 2024

2 people killed in New York City stabbing spree at 3 different Manhattan locations

NBC•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

New York City

New York City Police Department

New York state’s population could drop by 2 million people come 2050, shocking study finds

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

New York is headed for massive shrinkage — thanks to its repellant progressive agenda

New York Post•Nov 17, 2024

2 people killed in New York City stabbing spree at 3 different Manhattan locations

NBC•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the US homicide rate per 100,000 be in the following years?

5.66

What will the US murder rate be in 2030?

5.58

What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?

5.32