Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the WHO name BA.2.86 as a SARS-CoV-2 Variant of Interest before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.5%
Total Forecasters112
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
80.9
Community Peer Score
14.8
Learn more about scores here.
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