M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :6
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction4.45

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
6.72e-1
4.45
7.16
0.4%

What was the final result?6



Comments

? comments