M

Question

What will be the average partisan vote swing from 2020 to 2023 in state-level special elections held in the US before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :6.64.45
3
6
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction4.45 (0.672 - 7.16)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
...
...
...
...
...
0.2%
0.6723
4.451
7.16
0.4%

What was the final result?6.6

Community Baseline Score
41.1
Community Peer Score
6.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
2023 Leaderboard
New Hampshire
Democratic Party (US)
Republican Party (US)
Pennsylvania House of Representatives, District 21
United States
Tennessee
2020 US presidential election
Joe Biden
Donald Trump

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