Question

What percentage of the popular vote will presidential candidate Tharman Shanmugaratnam receive in the 2023 Singaporean presidential election?

Resolved :70.441.5

Total Forecasters5

Community Prediction41.5 (33.8 - 49)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	33.76	41.48	49.03
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	33.76	—
median	41.48	—
upper 75%	49.03	—

What was the final result?70.4

Community Baseline Score

-40.9

Community Peer Score

29.2

Authors:

forecastooor

Opened:

Aug 26, 2023

Closes:

Sep 1, 2023

Resolves:

Sep 8, 2023

Elections

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

People's Action Party

Tharman Shanmugaratnam

2023 Singaporean presidential election

President of Singapore

Singapore is set to deliver its first budget under its new prime minister. Here's what to expect

CNBC•Feb 16, 2025

Democrats 2028 Primary Polls: What Early Data Shows

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Singapore opposition leader, found guilty of lying to parliament, could face electoral ban

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of seats will the PAP win in the next Singaporean general election?

85.9

How many parliamentary seats will the Sweden Democrats win in the Swedish 2026 general election?

73.5

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Comments

? comments