Question

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

median 25.0%mean 27.4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

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Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Weak shipbuilding could be the US Navy's Achilles' heel in a war with China

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

US Boosts Air Power on China's Doorstep

Newsweek•Nov 18, 2024

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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%