Question

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction25%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

median 25.0%mean 28.2%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

59%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

China's navy flexed new muscles in the South China Sea with its first dual aircraft carrier drills

Business Insider•Nov 1, 2024

Map Shows US and China's Aircraft Carriers in Pacific This Week

Newsweek•Nov 4, 2024

China's Navy Flexes Muscles in First Dual Aircraft Carrier Operations

Newsweek•Nov 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

59%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

12%