Question

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

35 comments35

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction25% (16% - 30.3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Aug 29, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

3.7%

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2050?

15%

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