Question

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?

62 comments62

Total Forecasters222

Community Prediction2025-12-21

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01-01

...

2025-05-16 12:18

2025-12-21 09:45

2026-11-01 18:37

4.4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Putin Tells German Leader That Ukraine Peace Deal Possible

AntiWar•Nov 16, 2024

What next on the war in Ukraine?

•Nov 17, 2024

Zelensky Says Wants to End War by Diplomacy Next Year

•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Putin Tells German Leader That Ukraine Peace Deal Possible

AntiWar•Nov 16, 2024

What next on the war in Ukraine?

•Nov 17, 2024

Zelensky Says Wants to End War by Diplomacy Next Year

•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%