Question

Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?

Resolved :Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

17.1

Community Peer Score

11.5

median 70.0%mean 72.0%

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 European Parliament election

Ursula von der Leyen

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

52%

Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 European Parliament election

Ursula von der Leyen

Look at this photo of Ursula von der Leyen’s new team – and tell me the EU doesn’t have a diversity problem | Shada Islam

Guardian•Oct 8, 2024

Ursula von der Leyen attacks Viktor Orbán over pro-Russia stance

Guardian•Oct 9, 2024

Who controls the Senate? Red-blue party division, explained

USA Today•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

52%

Will the current European Commission propose a European Union directive or regulation banning all types of caged-housing for egg-laying hens before October 31, 2024?