Question

Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?

Resolved :Yes

3 comments3

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction70%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 70%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

17.1

Community Peer Score

11.5

median 70.0%mean 72.0%

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 European Parliament election

Ursula von der Leyen

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election?

Who will be elected President of France in 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AndyPrenner

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2024 European Parliament election

Ursula von der Leyen

Ursula von der Leyen is Europe’s Kamala Harris

Spectator (UK)•Nov 12, 2024

EU top diplomat nominee strongly backs Ukraine and underlines China's links to the war

Independent•Nov 12, 2024

EU top diplomat nominee strongly backs Ukraine and underlines China’s links to the war

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%