Question

Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

no comments0

Total Forecasters6

Community Prediction37.1% (10% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 37.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

International Law Enforcement Academy

Astrophysics

Geography

Environmental science

Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing

Earth observation satellite

Trawl the sea or mine for metals? Pacific nations wrestle with how to protect oceans - and livelihoods

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Underwater Mountain Discovery Reveals Over 100 New ‘Alien-Like’ Marine Species

Forbes•Dec 15, 2024

Fishing gear threatens Hawaii's already endangered false killer whales

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

38%

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

70%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

International Law Enforcement Academy

Astrophysics

Geography

Environmental science

Illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing

Earth observation satellite

Trawl the sea or mine for metals? Pacific nations wrestle with how to protect oceans - and livelihoods

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Underwater Mountain Discovery Reveals Over 100 New ‘Alien-Like’ Marine Species

Forbes•Dec 15, 2024

Fishing gear threatens Hawaii's already endangered false killer whales

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

24.1%

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

38%

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

70%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will advancements in space-based observation systems lead to a significant reduction in illegal fishing activities in global marine regions before 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

Comments

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?

Will space-based technologies facilitate the creation of an effective global system for tracking and mitigating illegal wildlife trade before 2031?

Will space-based technology enable effective enforcement of the UN High Seas Treaty to reduce marine pollution and protect marine ecosystems before 2027?

Will an international organization release a report estimating that space-based technologies have contributed to a 5% or greater increase in agricultural yields in any country before 2031?