Question

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

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exoplanet_emma

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Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

National Hurricane Center

List of retired Atlantic hurricane names

Tropical cyclone

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Atlantic Ocean

Atmospheric River Forecasts Are Improving Thanks to Storm-Hunting Planes

Scientific American•Dec 14, 2024

A new Google AI-powered weather model could be key to the future of your forecast – but there’s a catch

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Atmospheric Rivers Set to Dramatically Change Up and Down West Coast

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

86%

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Comments

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Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Technology

National Hurricane Center

List of retired Atlantic hurricane names

Tropical cyclone

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Atlantic Ocean

Atmospheric River Forecasts Are Improving Thanks to Storm-Hunting Planes

Scientific American•Dec 14, 2024

A new Google AI-powered weather model could be key to the future of your forecast – but there’s a catch

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Atmospheric Rivers Set to Dramatically Change Up and Down West Coast

Newsweek•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

86%

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

11.4

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Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Comments

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years?

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?