Question

Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction24%

Make a Prediction

community: 23.7%

median 23.7%mean 24.8%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

2031-06

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

26%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

Countries, businesses and trade officials urge EU to rethink deforestation regulation

Associated Press•Oct 2, 2024

Marburg is an especially scary virus. How scared should we be of Rwanda's outbreak?

NPR Online News•Oct 2, 2024

The UN’s Pathetic Attempt to Rule the World

American Thinker•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

2031-06

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

26%

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?

Make a Prediction

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Comments

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?