Question

Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction23.7% (4% - 25%)

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50%

community: 23.7%

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Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

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Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

2031-06-07

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

What Is An Omnibus? How The EU Could Reshape Sustainability Reporting

Forbes•Dec 11, 2024

Rwandan president Paul Kagame confirms bid to host F1 grand prix

Independent•Dec 14, 2024

African Union chairperson candidates advocate for permanent UN Security Council seats

Associated Press•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

2031-06-07

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

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Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?

Make a Prediction

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Comments

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

When will the West African eco currency be adopted?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?