Question

Long Bets series: Will Private Nonfarm business productivity growth average over 1.8 percent per year from the first quarter (Q1) of 2020 to the last quarter of 2029 (Q4)?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction44%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 44%

median 44.0%mean 40.2%

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

86%

What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?

6.36

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Will Intel's Trump-Fuelled Rally Continue After 14% Jump?

Forbes•Nov 11, 2024

A Roadmap to AI Utopia

Time•Nov 12, 2024

Those bold AGI predictions are suddenly looking stretched

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Longbets series: will the annual rate of US labor productivity growth for the year 2025, as measured by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, be 2 percent or above?

47%

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?

86%

What percent will software and information services contribute to US GDP in Q4 of 2030?

6.36