M

Group

In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average?

3
60
30 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Biden Polling Marginresolution

PDF

CDF

<-10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>10
0.1%
-1.236
-0.5576
0.9507
0.1%

What was the final result?-1.3

Community Baseline Score
65.0
Community Peer Score
26.7

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Sep 7, 2023
Closes:Nov 1, 2024
Resolves:Nov 1, 2024

Comments

? comments