Question

Will large language models become the state of the art for machine translation in 2023?

Resolved :Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction98%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

24.0

Community Peer Score

11.7

median 98.0%mean 91.9%

Authors:

evenius

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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85%

On January 1, 2025, which frontier AI lab will have a publicly available model with the highest score on the MMLU benchmark?

Will transformer models be the state-of-the-art on most natural language processing benchmarks on January 1, 2027?

80%

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