Question

Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters54

Community Prediction75% (70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Sep 7, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Musk wants to leave NATO. Thanks to Marco Rubio, that's a lot harder

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

Musk wants to leave NATO. Thanks to Marco Rubio, that's a lot harder.

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

These 4 Countries Have Faster GDP Growth Than the US

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026?

50%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Sep 7, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Musk wants to leave NATO. Thanks to Marco Rubio, that's a lot harder

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

Musk wants to leave NATO. Thanks to Marco Rubio, that's a lot harder.

Business Insider•Mar 4, 2025

These 4 Countries Have Faster GDP Growth Than the US

Newsweek•Mar 5, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026?

50%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

11%