Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Black Sea grain deal be revived before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.2%
6
6
Total Forecasters137
Community Prediction0.2% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
92.6
Community Peer Score
6.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Geopolitics
Economy & Business
2023 Leaderboard
Turkey
Russo-Ukrainian War
Foreign policy of Vladimir Putin
Ukraine
Russia

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