Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Donald Trump participate in the 2nd Republican primary debate?

Resolved :No1%
3
13
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.9
Community Peer Score
5.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
TheAGI
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2023 Leaderboard
Tucker Carlson
Vivek Ramaswamy
Nikki Haley
2024 Elections (US)
2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
Donald Trump

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