Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US pass the Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAP) Disclosure Act of 2023 before October 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1.5%
Total Forecasters80
Community Prediction1.5% (1% - 2%)

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50%
community: 1.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
68.1
Community Peer Score
14.1
Learn more about scores here.
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