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M

conditional
condition

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

12 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

35%
35%

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

55%
55%
4
0

Make a Prediction

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan? (2030)

Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?

50%
community: 35%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Economy & Business
People's Liberation Army
Economy of the United States
World Bank
Taiwan–US relations
Republic of China Navy
Chinese Civil War
Historical GDP of China

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