Question

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

25 comments25

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction25% (14% - 28%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

EPA Approves California Plan to Ban Sales of Gas Cars by 2035

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

2041-02-18

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

3.44

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Electric Vehicle Boom Is (Predictably) Out of Gas

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

US EPA approves California plan to ban gas-only cars starting in 2035

One America•Dec 18, 2024

EPA Approves California Plan to Ban Sales of Gas Cars by 2035

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

25%

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

2041-02-18

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

3.44

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will there be widespread adoption of e-fuels in the US before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

Comments

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?

Will the 2030 light duty pure battery electric vehicle sales share exceed 35% in the US through November 2030?

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?

What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years?