conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
The question "Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?" resolves.
My Prediction
community<2020-03-27
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2200-01-04
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
2025-03-30 15:03
2026-04-19 10:35
2029-04-05 18:13
0.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
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Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
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