Question

Will Turkey recognize the Armenian genocide before 2050?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction12%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

median 12.0%mean 12.2%

Authors:

adssx

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armenian Genocide recognition

Turkey

Ottoman Empire

International Association of Genocide Scholars

Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Armenian Genocide

ICJ rules Armenia, Azerbaijan discrimination cases can proceed

Al Jazeera•Nov 13, 2024

Turkey Cuts Off Relations With Israel: Reports

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Turkey’s Erdogan says he remains hopeful about reconciliation with Syria

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

68.5%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

8.6%

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

adssx

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armenian Genocide recognition

Turkey

Ottoman Empire

International Association of Genocide Scholars

Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Armenian Genocide

ICJ rules Armenia, Azerbaijan discrimination cases can proceed

Al Jazeera•Nov 13, 2024

Turkey Cuts Off Relations With Israel: Reports

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Turkey’s Erdogan says he remains hopeful about reconciliation with Syria

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

68.5%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

8.6%

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3.2%