Question

Will Turkey recognize the Armenian genocide before 2050?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction12% (7.5% - 18%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12%

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Authors:

adssx

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armenian Genocide recognition

Turkey

Ottoman Empire

International Association of Genocide Scholars

Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Armenian Genocide

Question of intent makes genocide hardest crime to prove

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

The warm Turkish welcome for refugees is ending and Syrians are worried

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

The Annihilation of a Nation

CounterPunch•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

adssx

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armenian Genocide recognition

Turkey

Ottoman Empire

International Association of Genocide Scholars

Armenian Genocide Remembrance Day

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Armenian Genocide

Question of intent makes genocide hardest crime to prove

Guardian•Dec 20, 2024

The warm Turkish welcome for refugees is ending and Syrians are worried

Associated Press•Dec 20, 2024

The Annihilation of a Nation

CounterPunch•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

3.2%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will Turkey recognize the Armenian genocide before 2050?

Make a Prediction

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

Comments

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will Turkey be a member of the European Union by 2040?

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?