Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in California for these periods?

1
10
21 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 14

Make a Prediction

Periodresolution
community
<20
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
0.3%
342.2
525.8
754.1
0.5%

What was the final result?786

Community Baseline Score
33.5
Community Peer Score
3.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
FluSight Challenge 2023/24
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2023 Leaderboard
Public health
California
Medicine
Influenza
Virology
Influenza pandemic
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology

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