Question

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

Resolved :No32%

3 comments3

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction32% (26% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

28.6

Community Peer Score

21.1

Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Mar 20, 2016

Closes:

Jun 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2016

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How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

6.4

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zyglropteryx

Opened:

Mar 20, 2016

Closes:

Jun 1, 2016

Resolves:

Sep 1, 2016

Environment & Climate

Food and Drug Administration

Biology

Trump’s EPA Wants to Block Toxic Pesticide Warnings

Jacobin•Mar 5, 2025

Techno-Hell: Google AI Has Entered the Pharma Game in a Big Way

PJ Media•Mar 5, 2025

Opinion | Can Marty Makary Handle the F.D.A’.s Central Dilemma?

New York Times•Mar 6, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

6.4

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

38%

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

88%

MetaculusM

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

Make a Prediction

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

Comments

How many intentionally genomic DNA altered animals will be approved for consumption by the FDA on July 31, 2025?

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization prequalify moxidectin before 2027?

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