M

Question

Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025?

Resolved :Yes99%
Total Forecasters107
Community Prediction99% (92% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
35.3
Community Peer Score
5.0
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024

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