23 comments
108 forecasters
Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolved:Jul 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 29, 2023
