Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a major political party leave the I.N.D.I.A. alliance before the next Indian general election?

Resolved :Yes65%
2
17
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction65% (36.5% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
11.2
Community Peer Score
4.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Invert_DOG_about_centre_O
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Indian general election
Samajwadi Party
Communist Party of India (Marxist)
Nationalist Congress Party
Narendra Modi
Bharatiya Janata Party
Aam Aadmi Party
National Democratic Alliance
Sanatana Dharma College

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