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Question

Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025?

14
15
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

community: 9.6%
median 9.6%mean 9.9%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
jleibowichkokotajlodwill_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Future of AI
AI Safety
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Economics
Methodology
Anthropic
Statistics
Education
Decision theory
Risk management
Social science
Law
Master of Laws

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