Question

When will conscripted Ukrainians be able to demobilize?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction2025-11-01 (2025-04-10 - 2026-09-24)

Make a Prediction

weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2030-01-01

...

2025-04-10 10:43

2025-11-01 20:13

2026-09-24 04:14

1.6%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

CivilMarigold

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Martial law in Ukraine

National Guard of Ukraine

Ukraine

How Many Men Does It Take To Win a War They Never Chose To Fight? | Opinion

Newsweek•Dec 14, 2024

The Ukraine War Isn't Over Yet, but the Fat Lady Is Clearing Her Throat

PJ Media•Dec 14, 2024

Ukraine Birth Rates Could Plunge If Zelensky Gives In to Pentagon Demand

Newsweek•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026?

10%

When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?

2026-02-26

Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?

0.5%

Comments

? comments