Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

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Group

[Short Fuse] How many Democrats will vote to retain Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House?

3
3
5 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

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VotesMe
0
yes
1
no
2
no
3
no
4
no
5 or more
no
Resolved Oct 3, 2023
Community Baseline Score
20.2
Community Peer Score
13.9
Learn more about scores here.
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