Question
What will be the effective number of political parties in the Netherlands parliament following the 2023 election?
Resolved :7.038.24Total Forecasters79
Community Prediction8.24 (7.96 - 8.64)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5.5 | 0.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 7.961 | — |
| median | 8.241 | — |
| upper 75% | 8.64 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >9.5 | 7.8% | — |
What was the final result?7.03
Community Baseline Score
-58.3
Community Peer Score
27.1
Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Nov 21, 2023
Resolves:Dec 1, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Nov 21, 2023
Resolves:Dec 1, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch