Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

[Short Fuse] Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives following Kevin McCarthy's removal?

15
122
168 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 0

Make a Prediction

CandidatesMe
Don Bacon (R)
no
Mike Johnson (R)
yes
Kevin Hern (R)
annulled
Elise Stefanik (R)
no
Hakeem Jeffries (D)
no
Nancy Mace (R)
no
Byron Donalds (R)
no
Austin Scott (R)
no
Tom Emmer (R)
no
Steve Scalise (R)
no
Donald Trump (R)
no
Fred Upton (R)
no
Kevin Hern (R)
no
Lee Zeldin (R)
no
Patrick McHenry (R)
no
Kevin McCarthy (R)
no
Andy Biggs (R)
no
Jim Jordan (R)
no
Jim Banks (R)
no
Tom Cole (R)
no
Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
no
Resolved Oct 25, 2023
Community Baseline Score
50.2
Community Peer Score
5.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Lee Zeldin
Kevin McCarthy (California politician)
116th United States Congress
Tom Cole
President of the US
Nancy Pelosi
John Boehner
Austin Scott (politician)

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