Question
How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives to replace Kevin McCarthy?
Resolved :46.75Total Forecasters90
Community Prediction6.75 (4.42 - 10.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 4.419 | — |
| median | 6.747 | — |
| upper 75% | 10.09 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 | 1.0% | — |
What was the final result?4
Community Baseline Score
58.1
Community Peer Score
26.0
Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Oct 18, 2023
Resolves:Oct 25, 2023
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 5, 2023
Closes:Oct 18, 2023
Resolves:Oct 25, 2023
