Question

Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

45.8

Community Peer Score

18.4

median 29.0%mean 33.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Bird flu infections more widespread among US dairy workers than thought – study

Guardian•Nov 12, 2024

H5N1 bird flu might be more prevalent among humans than public health data shows

Independent•Nov 12, 2024

How Safe Is US Food? Experts' Verdicts After Listeria, E. Coli Outbreaks

Newsweek•Nov 14, 2024

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4.58

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

49%

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