Question

Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

median 29.0%mean 33.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

4.88

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

49%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Daily Mail•Oct 3, 2024

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How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

4.88

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

49%

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Will a fatality of one or more per year due to accidental infections in "select agent" pathogen research labs be reported in the next year?

Make a Prediction

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

Comments

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?