Question

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

Resolved :No

276 comments276

Total Forecasters669

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.6

Community Peer Score

27.3

median 1.0%mean 3.1%

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Palestinian National Authority

2006 Palestinian legislative election

1948 Arab–Israeli War

Oslo Accords

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024?

Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against a member of the Israeli Government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027?

90%

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