Question

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024?

Resolved :No1%

276 comments276

Total Forecasters669

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.6

Community Peer Score

27.3

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Oct 8, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2024

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Palestinian National Authority

2006 Palestinian legislative election

1948 Arab–Israeli War

Hamas resumes power in Gaza: ‘A slap in the face to the Israeli government’

New York Post•Jan 22, 2025

Israel Retains Control of Rafah Border Crossing Between Gaza and Egypt

Newsweek•Jan 22, 2025

Hamas Takes Charge in Gaza After 15 Months of War

New York Times•Jan 23, 2025

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