Question

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

Resolved :Annulled

10 comments10

Total Forecasters4

Community Prediction9.34

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20

...

9.058

9.338

9.877

0.1%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:

yuxi.liu.1995

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Compressibility factor

Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

9.01

What will be the best perplexity score by a language model on the Penn Treebank (Word Level) by the end of 2024?

10.9

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2025?

80.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

yuxi.liu.1995

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Compressibility factor

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Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?

9.01

What will be the best perplexity score by a language model on the Penn Treebank (Word Level) by the end of 2024?

10.9

What will be the best non-human SAT-style score on the hard subset of the QuALITY dataset by January 1, 2025?

80.3