Question

Before 2024, will the US government state that Iran likely helped Hamas plan the October 7 attack on Israel?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

54.5

Community Peer Score

15.1

median 1.0%mean 5.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Iran

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

13%

Comments

? comments