Question

Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction0%

Make a Prediction

community: 0.3%

median 0.3%mean 1.0%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Iran

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

13%

Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?

Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? → US Iran War Before 2025?

Comments

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

Iran

Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

No 'indications' Israel plans to nuke Iran in retaliation for missile bombardment: Chilling indication of how large-scale Netanyahu's revenge strike could be is revealed in leaked documents

Daily Mail•Oct 21, 2024

Iran prepares for full-scale war with Israel: Ayatollah orders military to plan for attack if Netanyahu gives green light to hit major sites in response to missile barrage

Daily Mail•Oct 25, 2024

Will Iran Go to War With Israel? What We Know

Newsweek•Oct 25, 2024

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Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

13%