Question

When will a country completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking?

2 comments2

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction2033-12-16 (2029-07-30 - 2040-05-05)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2049-12-31

...

2029-07-30 05:29

2033-12-16 21:08

2040-05-05 03:44

8.7%

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Authors:

bohaska

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In Biden administration’s final days, FDA advances proposal to set a nicotine limit on tobacco products

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Creating a Global Package to Solve the Problem of Plastics

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Urgent warning over 'big puff' vapes - as experts warn more than 8 MILLION disposable devices are thrown away in the UK every week

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

62.1%

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

2037-12-07

Comments

? comments

Authors:

bohaska

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In Biden administration’s final days, FDA advances proposal to set a nicotine limit on tobacco products

CNN•Dec 13, 2024

Creating a Global Package to Solve the Problem of Plastics

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Urgent warning over 'big puff' vapes - as experts warn more than 8 MILLION disposable devices are thrown away in the UK every week

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

62.1%

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

2037-12-07

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When will a country completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking?

Make a Prediction

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Comments

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?

Will smoking and sex be less prevalent in the United States in 2050 than in 2021?

Will any country that had nuclear weapons on July 1, 2017 give them up before 2035?

When will a European Union ban into non-commercial internal combustion engines take effect?