Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Sarah Bernstein or Chetna Maroo win the 2023 Booker Prize?

Resolved :No29%
4
8
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction29% (20% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
43.2
Community Peer Score
0.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Sports & Entertainment
2023 Leaderboard
London
Booker Prize

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