Question

Will Sarah Bernstein or Chetna Maroo win the 2023 Booker Prize?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction29%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

43.2

Community Peer Score

0.8

median 29.0%mean 28.5%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Sports & Entertainment

London

Booker Prize

Will Meghan Markle's book be reported to have outsold Prince Harry's "Spare" within a year after its publication?

25%

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Sports & Entertainment

London

Booker Prize

The best biographies and memoirs of 2024: Literary It-girls, art world intrigue and sociopathy

Independent•Nov 14, 2024

The Guardian view on the Booker prize winner: a whole new perspective | Editorial

Guardian•Nov 18, 2024

Sports Personality odds: Who is favourite to win 2024 BBC SPOTY award?

Independent•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Meghan Markle's book be reported to have outsold Prince Harry's "Spare" within a year after its publication?

25%

Will George R. R. Martin publish the sixth novel in "A Song of Ice and Fire" before Patrick Rothfuss publishes the third novel in "The Kingkiller Chronicle"?

38%

Will any science fiction literature originally written in Spanish win a major science fiction award before 2031?

40%