Question

When will congestion pricing go into effect in New York City?

Resolved :Jan 5, 20252025-03-21

Total Forecasters12

Community Prediction2025-03-21 (2025-01-10 - 2026-07-14)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2029-12-31
community	Jan 2025	Mar 2025	Jul 2026	3.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jan 2025	—
median	Mar 2025	—
upper 75%	Jul 2026	—
Upper bound
>2029-12-31	3.9%	—

What was the final result?Jan 5, 2025

Community Baseline Score

10.7

Community Peer Score

1.7

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Politics

Environment & Climate

Congestion pricing in New York City

London

Manhattan

New York (state)

Opinion | Trump Can Pry Congestion Pricing From My Cold, Dead Hands

New York Times•Feb 28, 2025

Driver hit with $45 charge for NYC congestion pricing – even though toll is $9: ‘Check your E-ZPass’

New York Post•Feb 28, 2025

Car-hating NYC bureaucrats quietly making congestion worse with plan to cut vehicle lanes

New York Post•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

2031-12-01

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

32%

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

2036-06-17

Comments

? comments

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Feb 3, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2030

Politics

Environment & Climate

Congestion pricing in New York City

London

Manhattan

New York (state)

Opinion | Trump Can Pry Congestion Pricing From My Cold, Dead Hands

New York Times•Feb 28, 2025

Driver hit with $45 charge for NYC congestion pricing – even though toll is $9: ‘Check your E-ZPass’

New York Post•Feb 28, 2025

Car-hating NYC bureaucrats quietly making congestion worse with plan to cut vehicle lanes

New York Post•Mar 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the US implement a national carbon tax or carbon pricing mechanism?

2031-12-01

Will a city with a population of over 1 million people publicly credit the use of high-resolution satellite imagery in reducing traffic congestion in a specific area before 2031?

32%

When will a carbon price be paid on 50% or more of the world's carbon emissions?

2036-06-17