Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Peter Bone MP be suspended from Parliament in 2023 (without first resigning)?

Resolved :Yes90%
5
23
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction90% (79.4% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 90%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
2.6
Community Peer Score
1.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2023 Leaderboard
House of Commons of the UK
Conservative Party (UK)
Peter Bone
Wellingborough
Recall of MPs Act 2015

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