Question

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction2042-03-17 (2033-07-22 - 2058-02-02)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-31

...

2033-07-22 19:05

2042-03-17 00:51

2058-02-02 07:13

6.8%

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Authors:

RyanBeck Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Gross domestic product

India

Japan

Great power

United Nations Security Council

Pakistan

Democracy and World Order

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When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Make a Prediction

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

Comments

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?