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MetaculusM

Question

Will Labor win the seat of Sturt in the next Australian Federal Election?

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction25% (20% - 26.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

joel.d galen Grigfall

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Electoral district of Sturt

Michele Bullock’s ‘wild ride’ at the RBA could spell trouble for Labor if interest rate cuts aren’t on the way

Guardian•Dec 11, 2024

Why 2025 could redefine politics

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Nigel Farage Leads Betting Odds to Become Next British Prime Minister

Breitbart•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

joel.d galen Grigfall

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Electoral district of Sturt

Michele Bullock’s ‘wild ride’ at the RBA could spell trouble for Labor if interest rate cuts aren’t on the way

Guardian•Dec 11, 2024

Why 2025 could redefine politics

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Nigel Farage Leads Betting Odds to Become Next British Prime Minister

Breitbart•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch